ESPN Ranking of Programs over next 3 seasons
ESPN did a power ranking of the top 25 programs through the next 3 years. They had a panel that ranked each of the following categories on a 10 point scale.
COACHING (25 percent): Quality of coaching staff over next three seasons, with heavy emphasis on the head coach
CURRENT TALENT (25 percent): Quality of players currently in the program, focusing on the future
RECRUITING (25 percent): Projected quality of 2014 and 2015 recruiting classes, and recruiting momentum
PROGRAM POWER (15 percent): Fan and institutional support, facilities, resources and tradition
STABILITY (10 percent): Accounts for potential roster and coaching staff turnover
I'm not going to throw in the entire list, but here's basically how the rankings broke down (and these are in order, ie Duke was 1, Kentucky 2, etc)
Tier 1: Duke, Kentucky, Kansas, Louisville, Florida
Tier 2: Michigan St, Arizona, Syracuse, North Carolina
Tier 3: Ohio St, Michigan
Tier 4: Indiana, Wisconsin, Georgetown, VCU
Tier 5: Oregon, Maryland, Marquette, Notre Dame, Memphis, Wichita St
Tier 6: UCLA, Virginia, Iowa St
And here is the write up on Arizona (#7)
The bar graphs reflect the average rating given by the voters for each category.
Category averages are weighted by importance to generate overall score.
Why they're here: Lute Olson had it rolling in Tucson, Ariz., but the program took a hit when Olson experienced health issues. Now there's stability again with Sean Miller. He isn't considered an elite coach, but it's been his recruiting prowess (he tied for second with Self and Krzyzewski) that has Arizona this high. Arizona is also a top-10 preseason team this season, and a school where it has been proved you can win a national title. --Jeff Goodman
What could change: Miller came to the Arizona program at exactly the right time and he has been exactly the right fit. Miller has the Wildcats on the rise, but as a result, every spring Arizona fans have to hold their breath because Miller's name is being mentioned at other high-profile jobs. If he stays for the long haul, then Arizona will have continued success and will be in contention for Final Fours, and will likely be rising in these rankings. --Miles Simon
Name to know: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson. A hard-playing, left-handed hybrid forward with a nose for the ball (he's 6-7 but has a 7-2 wingspan), Hollis-Jefferson reminds me of former Arizona State star James Harden. Although he doesn't yet have one special offensive trait, there's no doubt he'll be one of the best defenders in the Pac-12. Unless he refines his game quickly, I expect him to be in the program for at least three seasons. --Seth Greenberg